Toompark: aasta teises pooles jääb kinnisvaratehinguid vähemaks

Aasta teise poolde võib prognoosida elamispindade kinnisvaraturu rahunemist, sest tänane üsnagi aktiivne turg on osalt tingitud eelmise aasta majanduskasvust ja toona tehtud uute korterite ostuotsustest.

Adaur analüütik Tõnu Toompark ütles, et uute korterite turuletulek on vähenenud, mis on üks tegur, miks tehinguid peaks vähemaks jääma.

Siiski osutas ta, et tehingute arvu langusele töötab vastu eluasemelaenude intressimäära järjepidev alanemine. «Täna avaldatud eluasemelaenude keskmine intressimäär 2,9 protsenti on kõigi aegade madalaim number. Kindlasti paneb see laenuvõimelisi inimesi mõtlema soodsa olukorra ärakasutamisele,» osutas ta.

Toompark avaldas arvamust, et hindades vaevalt mingeid olulisi liikumisi tuleb, sest tänane hinnatase on ostjatele vastuvõetav. «Seega võib jätkuda tagasihoidlik hinnatõus Tallinnas. Muudes piirkondades oleks hea, kui lõpuks ükskord hinnalangusest selgelt välja jõuaks,» märkis ta.

Enn Tosso: http://www.e24.ee/917220/toompark-aasta-teises-pooles-jaab-kinnisvaratehinguid-vahemaks/

Tõnu Toompark: Madal euribor säästab eestlastele 130-250 miljonit eurot aastas

Ülimadala euribori tõttu säästavad eestlased aastas iga laenu kohta 840-1600 eurot.

Tänane eluasemelaenude turg on toonud laenuvõtjaid rõõmustava ülimadala euribori. See on omakorda viinud kõigi aegade madalaima eluasemelaenude intressimäärani ja seda isegi vaatamata riskimarginaali tõusule. Võrreldes euribori ajaloolise keskmise tasemega hoiavad Eesti laenuvõtjad laenude intressimaksetelt kokku 130-250 miljonit eurot aastas. See teeb iga laenu kohta 840-1600 eurot aastas.

Tänaste uute eluasemelaenude intressimäär on rekordmadalal. Maikuine eluasemelaenude keskmine intressimäär oli 2,96%. Väga tõenäoline, et juuli lõpus avaldatav juunikuine näitaja tuleb sellest veelgi allapoole. Sedavõrd madalal ei olnud keskmised intressimäärad isegi mitte kinnisvarabuumi ajal. Toonane rekord 2005. aasta kevadel oli 3,5%, millest paremaid pakkumisi said pankade parimad kliendid.

Buumiaegne intressimarginaal ehk euriborile liidetav riskimarginaal kõikus 2005.-2008. aastani 0,8 ja 1,4% vahel. Pankade parimate klientide marginaal oli sel ajal 0,5%, millest üksikutel erandjuhtudel ka allapoole mindi. 2009. aastal tõusis intressimarginaal majanduskriisi avamänguna üleöö pea 2,5 protsendini, et seejärel vaikselt-vaikselt taas langema hakata.

2011. aasta suveks jõudis eluasemelaenude keskmine riskimarginaal 1,6-1,7 protsendini. Sellele järgnes programmilisena tunduv pankurite kommentaaride tulv, kus kõneldi marginaalide tõstmisevajadusest. Nii on keskmise riskimarginaali tase tänaseks tõusnud tagasi 2,0 protsendi peale. Teisisõnu on muutuvale euriborile lisatav muutumatu riskimarginaal kukkesammu haaval kasvanud. Õnneks või õnnetuseks on nõrk laenunõudlus siiani veel intressimarginaalide järsku tõstmist pidurdanud.

Euribor on oluliselt kukkunud

Laenuvõtja tasutav intressimäär (euribori ja intressimarginaali summa) on siiski langenud. Languse põhjuseks on asjaolu, et euribor on langenud kiiremini, kui pangad on saanud või tahtnud riskimarginaali tõsta. Suurema osa laenude intressimäära aluseks olev kuue kuu euribor on juuli keskpaigaks langenud 0,75% suurusjärku. Tänased prognoosid näitavad, et madalast euriborist on meil võimalus rõõmu tunda veel vähemalt aasta-paar.

Ajalooliselt on euribor viimase kümnendi vältel liikunud peamiselt vahemikus 3-5%, mis tähendab, et hoogsad laenuvõtjad peaksid meeles pidama, et euribor ei jää tänasele ülimadalale tasemele alatiseks püsima.

See on aga oluline, sest kui inimese laenusumma on 40 000 eurot ja laen on võetud 25 aastaks, on laenumakse 3% intressimäära puhul 189 eurot. Kui intressimäär tõuseb 5% peale, siis kasvab laenumakse juba 231 euroni. Eesti keskmise palga (850 eurot kuus) puhul on aga 42 eurone laenumakse muutus juba oluline summa.

Seetõttu peaksid tänased laenuvõtjad laenuotsust kaaludes pidama selgelt silmas euribori kasvamise võimalust. Pigem peaks tänane laenuvõtja kalkuleerima, kas ta suudab välja kannatada ka 5-6-protsendilise intressimäära ja tundma rõõmu tänasest madalamast laenumaksest kui kokkuhoiust.

Eelnenud arvutuse võib ka teistpidi teha. Eesti eluasemelaenude jääk on 5,8 miljardit eurot. See on eluasemelaenude summa, mida inimesed jooksvalt tagasi maksavad. Euribori langus ajaloolise keskmise vahemiku 3-5% pealt tänasele 0,75% tasemele tähendab suures plaanis kogu Eesti laenuvõtjate massile aastast kokkuhoidu 131-250 miljonit eurot.

Madal ja inflatsioonile allajääv intressimäär on laenuvõtja jaoks positiivne võimalus. Soodsad laenutingimused annavad küll kokkuhoiuvõimaluse, kuid laenuvõtja peab kindlasti arvestama, et rekordmadalale kukkunud euribor hakkab sügavikust kunagi tõusma. Tänase 2% riskimarginaaliga laen on 5% euribori puhul kokku intressimääraga 7%, mis on juba enam kui kaks korda kõrgem tänasest keskmisest intressimäärast.

Artiklis kasutatud andmete allikaks on Eesti Pank, Statistikaamet ja autori arvutused.

(Autor on Kinnisvarakool OÜ juhatuse liige ja Eesti Kinnisvarafirmade Liidu juhatuse liige.)

http://www.delfi.ee/news/paevauudised/arvamus/tonu-toompark-madal-euribor-saastab-eestlastele-130-250-miljonit-eurot-aastas.d?id=64705214

Koolitus “Kinnisvara ABC” toimub 10…19/09/2012

Kinnisvarakool alustab10. septembril stardib Kinnisvarakooli koolitustesarja avapauguna sügisene koolitus Kinnisvara ABC. Koolitus on suunatud kõikidele kinnisvarahuvilistele: maakleritele, maakleriks saada soovijatele, kinnisvaraspetsialistidele, kinnisvara müüa soovivatele inimestele…

Koolitus läbib kõige olulisemad kinnisvaravaldkonna teemad: kinnisvaraturg, finantseerimine, hindamine, ehitus ja planeeringud, maaklertegevus, juriidika.

Viimasele – juriidikale – pöörame erilist tähelepanu, sest see on kinnisvaratehingu juures sageli üks olulisemaid valdkondi.

Kõik Kinnisvara ABC lektorid – Tõnu Toompark, Evi Hindpere, Marko Sula, Andree Raid – on pikaajalise kogemusega praktikud. Nii ei jää vastuseta ükski küsimus.

Info ja registreerimine

Margot Toompark
Kinnisvarakool OÜ
Koolituste müük ja korraldus
+372 525 6655
kool@kinnisvarakool.ee
www.kinnisvarakool.ee
Kinnisvarakool

Increase In Number Of Houses On The Property Market In Estonia

According to Tõnu Toompark on his adaur blog, although the kv.ee index* of property prices in Estonia has seen only scant changes over the past year (a 0.98 per cent y-o-y fall to June 2012) this does not tell the whole story as regards the market here.

For one thing, the index has been fairly stable over the past couple of years (the index is based on asking prices rather than transaction prices**) which means that vendors have not had unrealistic expectations. On the other hand, transaction prices (which are naturally lower than asking prices) have at least in some areas been creeping up towards the levels of asking prices, which has led to a quite active property market over the last few quarters, writes Tõnu.

One area where the statistics bear this out is in the number of houses which have appeared on the market recently – 409 in the year to June 2012. Now, 409 may not sound like a lot of items, but it is worth taking a look at the number of houses on the market at any one time. At the time of writing (13.00 on 25th July) there were, on the kv.ee portal itself, 14 516 apartments for sale in the whole of Estonia (5 646 in Tallinn) as against 8 000 houses (621 in Tallinn). In other words the property market in Estonia, and in Tallinn in particular, is dominated by apartments. The city24.ee portal paints a similar picture, with 14 115 apartments for sale across Estonia versus 6 101 houses.

It needs to be pointed out here that the two portals’ statistics are likely to represent a figure for items on the market which is higher than the actual figure (due in part to the same property being listed by multiple agents and so counted more than once, or ‘dead’ properties which have been listed for several years); nonetheless Tõnu cites 5 654 houses being on the market in Estonia in June 2012.

This increase in supply of houses on the market has not been uniform throughout the country, although in all but two counties (Maakond) in Estonia, there have been increases, some of them substantial. For example in the county of Läänemaa there was a 58 per cent increase in numbers of houses on the market, according to Tõnu’s data.

The two exceptions were Viljandimaa which saw a -24 per cent fall in supply, and Lääne-Virumaa which saw a -6 per cent fall (there are 15 counties in Estonia).

In addition to that, no data was available for changes in supply of houses in Põlvamaa (though only 15 houses were listed as for sale in June 2012 here).

The figure for Estonia as a whole was an increase of 8 per cent in the supply of houses on the market (409 items as noted).

As regards prices of houses, changes were more variable. As might be expected from microeconomic theory, an increase in supply led to a fall in asking prices in a lot of counties (as much as -27 per cent in Järvamaa in central Estonia). However five counties actually saw an increase in asking prices, including the key counties of   Tartumaa, Harjumaa (where Tallinn is located) and Pärnumaa (increases of six, two and one per cent respectively). Reasons for this are largely speculative, although it is worth noting that when taken as a whole, Estonia saw no change in asking prices.

In summary: both asking prices and transaction prices remaining pretty static in the market for houses in Estonia, but there is an increasing availability of houses to buy nonetheless.

The original article by Tõnu Toompark (in Estonian) is here.

*The KV.ee index, which commenced on 18th February, 2008 (i.e. this is the date on which the value of the index is calibrated at 100) measures the week on week change in residential real estate prices in Estonia. The data has been measured back anachronistically to 1 January, 2005, when the index stood at an “all time” low of 49.9. The “all time” high came on 7th May, 2007, when it stood at 108. Following the economic downturn of 2008 onwards, the index reached a low point (to date) of 61.4 on two occasions, on 5th September and 27th October, 2010.

Tallinn Property by Goodson & RedAndrew Whyte
Tallinn Property by Goodson & Red

Where To Buy In Tallinn, Estonia?

People often ask us what the up and coming areas in Tallinn are. What’s going to be the next hot spot to buy an investment property with a potential for strong growth and consistent cashflow from rentals?

We don’t have a crystal ball of course – and nobody does, not one that is effective anyway – but based on the empirical evidence of what has been happening in the couple of years of recovery since the slump we can make a sensible forecast.

City Centre and Old Town

First, the Old Town (see map 2 below) will continue to hold its value. It is a UNESCO world heritage site, hugely popular with tourists, well supplied with a variety of good quality restaurants, cafes, bars, craft shops, high end clothes shops and other amenities, and is close to the harbour not to mention the seat of Governmental power. What’s more people actually live and work there.

The ‘Kesklinn’ (City Centre, also called the ‘Südalinn’) similarly will retain its prominence and, whilst prices took a greater bashing here during the 2008-2010 slump than in the Old Town, is of key significance, containing as it does not only Tallinn’s Central Business District, but more entertainment outlets, foreign embassies and a large number of residents.

Add to that the district of Kadriorg, to the east of the Kesklinn, with its leafy, evocative streets, fine old housing, and the Palace built for Catherine the Great, not to mention the President’s residence, and you already have a large, contiguous area of desirable housing with strong rental potential. In fact, the three areas noted above come under the one administrative area as far south as the Ülemiste Järv (see map 2) which is the Tallinn city lake, and cover 28 square kilometres in total.

But these areas have already arrived, so to speak. Whilst developments in the Kesklinn in particular look set to continue, such as the new Finance Ministry as reported in a previous post, and there is plenty of scope for refurbishment work in all areas, it seems unlikely that there is to be any radical transformation here. That process has already happened, stretching back the 20 years since Estonia’s independence.

Emerging Districts

Now to the districts of Tallinn showing promising signs for investors. Again, these are largely adjacent to one another and can thus be treated as a single entity for our purposes. Essentially they comprise the ‘Sadam’ harbour area (see map 1 below) stretching westward along the waterfront along the ‘Culture Kilometre’ (a popular cycling and jogging route) to Kalamaja. This stretch is set for a lot of exciting development in the coming years, both residential (that process has already started with the quality new housing in the Jahu and Suur-/Väike-Paterei streets) and commercial. One recent development which has already happened is the newly refurbished Seaplane Harbour, which includes dry docks, Seaplane Hangars dating back to the late Tsarist time which hold a museum, and vessels of historical interest.

Kalamaja itself is similarly already experiencing a renaissance. It largely comprises character wooden houses, mostly around a century old but here have been some tasteful new builds constructed along the same lines, as well as new, more modern builds. The Kalamaja effect is spreading southwards to neighbouring Pelgulinn, which has similar housing stock and is quiet and family friendly, yet still a stone’s throw from the Old Town, eventually dovetailing into the borders of the more-established Kristiine suburb. The Kassisaba district (close to the British embassy) has seen construction and refurbishment activity aplenty recently as well (e.g. at Adamsoni 33).

Returning to Kalamaja, the border that separates it from Pelgulinn, demarcated by the goods rail line to Kopli, host what is really the hub of this new revival – the so called bohemian quarter. This comprises three of the hippest restaurants in town,Kukeke, run by the same people who are behind the successful Komeet restaurant in the Solaris centre, F-Hoone (literally ‘building F’) which are both in former light industrial buildings, and the more established Boheem cafe close to the station.

Other good quality refreshment outlets abound, and we have to mention the nearby Asian Cafe  on Kopli 4c close to the central train station, which offers tasty Indian, Chinese and Thai-style food for those in a hurry and at good prices.

Moreover this area is set to be the new alternative theatreland, with a theatre accomodating a good couple of hundred seats slated for construction next year.

Lastly, this effect may well spread Northwards throughout the Kopli peninsular (see map 1) over the longer term. The Kopli peninsular, once the site of aristocratic hunting forests, today displays very mixed use, with various commercial docks including the Bekker port, the HQ of BLRT, a shipbuilding company, plenty of old wooden workers cottages, office space, parkland and the magnificent Estonian Maritime Academy building. Beyond this at the tip of the peninsular lies the Paljassaare nature reserve, which is excellent for birdwatching and its natural environment in general, all year round.

Rough per square metre price of districts

As regards prices, a rough breakdown for average buying prices of the districts mentioned is as follows:

Old Town: 2 000 – 3 000 Euros/Square metre.

Kesklinn (excluding Old Town), Kadriorg: 1 800 Euros/Square metre.

Kristiine: 1 300 Euros/Square metre.

Kalamaja, Pelgulinn: 1 100 Euros/Square metre.

Kopli: 800 Euros/Square metre.

Naturally these are just ballpark figures at the time of writing and prices will vary with street, type of building, state of refurbishment etc.

As a rule of thumb, rentals will be at least 10 Euros/Square metre in the Old Town (and somewhat more than that for well-appointed properties) falling to around 6 or 7 Euros/Square metre further from the centre.

We hope that this gives a good overview of the state of play with the districts in central Tallinn to watch out for; naturally we welcome your questions, comments and feedback!

Maps (click to enlarge).

Map 1: Area to Northwest of Central  Tallinn,

including Kalamaja and Kopli peninsular.

 

Map 2: Old Town (Vanalinn), City Centre,

Pelgulinn and Kristiine (Lillekülla).

Map 3: Tallinn City.

Tallinn Property by Goodson & RedAndrew Whyte
Tallinn Property by Goodson & Red

Kinnisvarakool alustab peatselt uue hooajaga

Kinnisvarakool ei ole vaatamata lubadustele suvel puhanud. Oleme suve jooksul väljatöötanud värsked koolitused, lubame, et neile tuleb peatselt lisa.

Kinnisvarakool: uued koolitusedKõikidele koolitustele registreerumine on juba alanud. Registreerida on võimalik lehel “Registreeru“.

10.09.-19.09.2012 Kinnisvara ABC
Koolitus Kinnisvara ABC on suunatud maakleritele, kes soovivad meelde tuletada kinnisvaraäri põhiolemust ja saada värske ülevaade kinnisvaraturul toimuvast. Samuti on koolitus Kinnisvara ABC suunatud eraisikutele, kes soovivad kinnisvaraturul teha ostu-müügiteehinguid ja/või kinnisvara välja üürida.

24.09.2012 Kinnisvara müügikoolitus
Kinnisvara müügikoolitus on suunatud kinnisvaramaakleritele, kes tegelevad kinnisvara müümisega igapäevaselt või soovivad alustada tööd kinnisvaramaaklerina. Samuti on koolitusele oodatud eraisikud, kes soovivad müüa/üürile anda endale kuuluvat elamispinda ja saada eelnevalt infot, kuidas sellises olukorras käituda.

26.09.2012 Üürikoolitus
Üürikoolitus on suunatud maakleritele, kes vahendavad eluruumidest üüripindu ja soovivad enda teadmisi värskendada; eraisikutele ja väikeinvestoritele, kes annavad eluruume üürile; inimestele, kes plaanivad soetada eluruumi selle üürileandmiseks, et mõista üüriäri riske ja võimalusi; eluruumide üürnikele, kes soovivad rohkem aimdust saada üürileandjate mõttemaailmast.

01.10.2012 Kinnisvaraturundus
Sageli on laialivalguv, mida ikkagi peetakse silmas mõiste “turundus” all. Kinnisvaraturunduse koolitus katab turunduskompleksist peamiselt turunduskommunikatsiooni valdkonda. Teisisõnu keskendub koolitus sellele, kuidas ja milliseid kanaleid kasutades saab maakler või kinnisvaramüüja oma sõnumi kliendini viia.

03.10.2012 Hindamise ABC
Koolitus Hindamise ABC on suunatud maakleritele ja eraisikutele, kes soovivad paremini mõista kinnisvara väärtuse kujunemise põhitõdesid; maakleritele ja eraisikutele, kes soovivad teha karjääri kinnisvarahindajana; kinnisvarainvesteeringute tegijatele, kel on huvi väärtuse mehhanismide vastu.

08.10.2012 Kinnisvara fotokoolitus
Kinnisvara fotografeerimise koolitus on suunatud maakleritele, kes tegelevad kinnisvara vahendamisega; kinnisvaraspetsialistidele, kes tegelevad kinnisvara müügiga; eraisikutele, kel on huvi fotografeerimise, eriti hoonete fotografeerimise vastu.

10.2012 Kinnisvara täiendkoolitus – kuupäev täpsustamisel
Kinnisvara täiendkoolitus on suunatud maakleritele ja kinnisvaraspetsialistidele enesetäienduseks. Samuti on kursus suunatud inimestele, kel on plaanis kinnisvaraturul aktiivsemalt toimetada. Koolitusel läbime kõik olulise, mis on vajalik aktiivse ja eduka kinnisvaraaalase karjääri aluseks. Kinnisvara täiendkoolitus sobib väga hästi ka maakleri kutseeksami ettevalmistuseks.

Margot Toompark
Kinnisvarakool OÜ
Koolituste müük ja korraldus
+372 525 6655
kool@kinnisvarakool.ee
www.kinnisvarakool.ee
Kinnisvarakool


www.kinnisvarakool.ee


When Is An Offer Not An Offer? – Understanding Estonian Real Estate Jargon

Here at Tallinn Property we make it our mission to ensure you understand the Estonian property market fully, regardless of whether you speak any Estonian or not!

It has been brought to our attention that there may be some confusion about what is meant by ‘offers‘ in the real estate context here.

The word ‘offer’ in Estonian is pakkumine, or plural pakkumised (though this can change – Estonian is a notoriously complex language with 14 case endings, but no words for articles (a/the) or prepositions (in,on, at etc.) meaning that nouns will change their endings depending on where they are in the sentence – a function provided by articles and prepositions in English).

In any event, translated as ‘offer’, what pakkumine actually means is quite different from the English meaning in the context of real estate, at least in the UK.

Whereas in Britain, making an ‘offer’ is that process by which a buyer or potential buyer will suggest a price for a house or flat which is usually somewhat lower than the asking price as listed by the estate agent. The vendor can accept or reject this offer, but the most common practice would be to make a counter-offer, and this negotiation would go on until either a price acceptable to both parties was met or an impasse was met.

Thus the offer price of property in the UK and indeed, in this sense, Estonia and everywhere else, will generally be lower than the asking price.

However in Estonia, ‘offer’ actually means an item on the market. In other words offers are the supply of items, most usually apartments. Thus ‘offer price’ (pakkumishind) actually means ‘asking price’. This explains why ‘offer prices’ in Estonia are invariably higher than transaction prices (tehinguhinnad) since vendors here are no more or less generous, and buyers no more or less parsimonious, than anywhere else!

In other words pakkumishind really means ‘asking price’ i.e. what the vendor hopes to receive. And ‘offers’ in general means the supply of flats and house on the market, not the volume of people offering to buy an item.

We hope that clears everything up for all our readers, and rest assured that we will blog about any other things which might get lost in translation – or if you have your own query, just ask us!

Tallinn Property by Goodson & RedAndrew Whyte
Tallinn Property by Goodson & Red

Kommentaar euribori ja intressimäära kohta

Kinnisvaraturg on täna üsna aktiivne ja laenusid väljastatakse üksjagu. Paljus on selle taga eelmisel aastal võlaõiguslikult ostetud arendusjärgus korterid, mis täna asjaõiguslepinguteni ja seega maa-ameti statistikasse jõuavad.

Seega on tänane laenuralli pigem tingitud eelmise aasta positiivsest meelsusest, kui tänasest madalast euriborist.

Madal laenu hind kindlasti ärgitab inimesi laenuvõtmisele mõtlema, aktiivseimaid ka tegudeni jõudma. Intressimääral on siiski enamasti kaks komponenti – muutuv euribor ja muutumatu riskimarginaal. Viimane on tõusnud aastataguselt 1,6-1,8% pealt tänaseks 2,0% suurusjärku.

Euribor on intressimarginaali tõusust siiski kiiremini alanenud ja seetõttu on kokkuvõtlik laendamine inimeste jaoks odavamaks läinud. Seda näitab ka Eesti Panga laenustatistika, mis ütleb, et maikuine uute eluasemelaenude keskmine intressimäär oli 2,96% – nii madal ei ole see mitte kunagi olnud.

Ajaliselt ettepoole vaadates prognoositakse, et euribor püsib madalal tasemel veel aasta-paar. Küll peab laenuvõtja arvestama, et euribor ei jää alla ühe protsendi 25-30 aastaks ehk kogu laenuperioodi kestel. Seetõttu tuleb laenuvõtjal tõsiselt kaaluda, kas ta tuleb laenumaksetega toime ka euribori tõusmisel näiteks 4 protsendini, mis 2,5% intressimarginaali puhul teeb summaarseks intressimääraks 6,5%.

Statistics: Residential Space In Estonia Has Increased 0.4 Per Cent Y-o-Y

Citing figures from the Estonain statistics office, Tõnu Toompark has reported on his Adaur blog that the total number of newly constructed residential units compared with the existing housing stock has increased by 0.4 per cent y-o-y, to 2012. The actual area of residential space versus existing stock increased by 0.68 per cent over the same period.

These may not seem like huge figures, but we are talking about increases as compared with the existing stock of course; the figures for the ‘boom’ years were much higher, with an approximately 1.1 per cent increase in numbers of units compared with stock in the peak year of 2007 (and over 1.4 per cent when measuring new developments by area) and at no point during the slump did the figures actually move into negative numbers.

That said, a one per cent increase in new housing over existing stock is required to account for depreciation in that existing housing, according to Tõnu. The magic one per cent figure will allow the maintaining of the quality of housing, or indeed an improvement through refurbishments and renovation work, Tõnu explains.

However, at best, there are only three years so far where that has happened, at least when going on area of residential stock (rather than numbers of units) namely 2007 as we have noted, and the two years either side of that. Thus in general there has been a deterioration in the overall quality of the housing stock over the last few years, when applying this rule, Tõnu notes.

That said, the situation is markedly better than was the case prior to the boom; 10 years ago in 2002 the number of new units compared with housing stock had only risen by 0.18 per cent y-o-y and the figure for area of new residential space had only increased by 0.3 per cent on the existing stock, writes Tõnu.

The original article (in Estonian) is here including a graph of y-o-y figures for ratio of new residential developments (by number and by area) to total stock.

It will be interesting to see if the mini-boom in construction which is taking place at present, and likely to be accompanied with a growth in commercial construction due to a dearth in good office space, will contribute to pushing the ratio of new housing to existing stock closer to the desired one per cent mark.

Tallinn Property by Goodson & RedAndrew Whyte
Tallinn Property by Goodson & Red

Aastaga lisandus 409 maja müügipakkumist

Eesti elamispindade pakkumishinna liikumisi jälgiv KV.EE indeks on langenud 60,7 punktile. Ühe kuu tagusest ajast on see 0,66% madalamal. Aastaga on indeks langenud 0,98%.

Indeksi liikumised on napid – nii nagu juba viimase kahe aasta jooksul. See näitab, et kinnisvarapakkumisepool ehk müüjad ei ole enda ootusi oluliselt tõstnud. Kasvanud tehinguhinnad on liikunud pakkumishindadele lähemale. Selle tulemusena on elamispindade turg olnud viimaste kvartalite jooksul üsnagi aktiivne.

Vaadates kitsamalt portaali KV.EE majade pakkumisi, siis näeme, et nende pakkumishinnad on Eestis tervikuna püsinud aastatagusel tasemel. Pakkumishinnad on kasvanud suuremates turu piirkondades Harjumaal, Tartumaal ja Pärnumaal vastavalt 2, 6 ja 1%. Kaheksas maakonnas on pakkumiste hinnad aastatagusest madalamal.

Majade pakkumiste arv on kasvanud kõikides maakondadeks. Erandiks on siin Viljandi ja Lääne-Viru maakonnad, kus pakkumisi on aastaga vähemaks jäänud vastavalt 24 ja 6%.

Kogu Eestis on aastaga lisandunud 409 majapakkumist, mis kasvunumbriks teeb 8%. Selle tulemusena oli juunis 2012 portaalis KV.EE 5654 maja müügipakkumist.

Vaata lähemalt, mis toimub kinnisvaraturul portaalist KV.EE.

Majade müügipakkumiste arv ja selle muutus Majade müügipakkumiste hind ja selle muutus
Maakond 06/2011 06/2012 Muutus, % 06/2011 06/2012 Muutus, %
Eesti 5 245 5 654 8% 797 798 0%
Harjumaa 2 959 3 021 2% 947 962 2%
Hiiumaa NA NA
Ida-Virumaa 115 142 23% 513 510 -1%
Jõgevamaa 66 81 23% 373 318 -15%
Järvamaa 64 84 31% 464 340 -27%
Läänemaa 76 120 58% 756 670 -11%
Lääne-Virumaa 162 152 -6% 548 570 4%
Põlvamaa 15 NA 320 439 37%
Pärnumaa 617 708 15% 642 648 1%
Raplamaa 138 165 20% 543 565 4%
Saaremaa 55 67 22% 802 788 -2%
Tartumaa 635 757 19% 685 723 6%
Valgamaa 109 117 7% 476 432 -9%
Viljandimaa 210 160 -24% 482 480 0%
Võrumaa 39 65 67% 483 380 -21%

 

KV.EE indeks

Ten Top Tips When Buying Residential Property In Tallinn And Estonia

In amongst all the up-to-date news and developments about the real estate market, and everything else in Tallinn and Estonia, we like to provide concrete advice to those who are thinking of buying in Tallinn. After all, property is our passion so we ought to give vent to that now and again!

To that end, here’s some advice on buying here, which we’ll provide free, ‘cos we’re like that. We might even cover the dos and don’ts of letting out property here soon as well so watch this space. Even if you have already invested here, you will find some useful tips to help you navigate the small but thriving real estate market here.

We have taken the perspective of a potential overseas investment buyer in Estonia (i.e. buy-to-let) but the following is largely also applicable to those who are thinking of buying a part-time (such as holiday home or pied à terre in Tallinn) or indeed full-time dwelling in Estonia.

Please note that this post is for information only and should not be taken as legal or financial advice. Please contact a legal or financial professional for that! (We can help get you in touch). This information is provided free of charge and, whilst we strive for accuracy in all things, Tallinn Property and Goodson & Red accepts no responsibility for any loss or other misfortune arising after acting upon this advice.

That said, we are confident that the information provides an accurate consumer-eye picture of the residential real estate climate in Tallinn and strongly advise you to bear it in mind, especially since there is unlikely to be any similar information avaiable in English, so read on..

1) Find a reliable partner who will protect the buyer’s (i.e. your!) interests. The best indicator is a good friend, acquaintance, a positive experience or a recommendation from someone in the know here. If you are not sure then visit at least a couple of estate agents/brokers to get a better idea of different work cultures and strengths.

Some of the agents here in Tallinn are large and well established, including Uusmaa and 1Partner, which have a large volume of items, a big staff, offer a range of services and have plenty of knowhow (Uusmaa was founded in 1993 not long after Estonia became independent, and is nationwide).

Some other bigger agencies in Estonia to think about include Pindi-EriArco VaraDTZ (which is not so strong in Tallinn) and Domus.

Bigger is not necessarily better of course, and there are a plethora of smaller and middle-sized agents in Tallinn and Estonia in general (at least 300 across the country). The range and quality of services will vary, however, and it is important to understand that the estate agent sector is not so heavily regulated as it is in, say, the UK. Some agents, particularly the bigger ones, are heavily sales-driven; the very small outfits may simply be an individual registered as a company to market a couple of properties belonging to themselves or friends and relatives. In general not all agents are experts in dealing with overseas investors and focus more on the domestic market so it is important to establish their credentials here too.

2) Unless you speak Estonian it is naturally important to find an agency conversant in a language which you understand. Most of the bigger agents, indeed most professional-aged people, will speak English, and most agents will speak Russian too. It’s not hard to find Finnish speakers here either, and not unheard of for agencies who have staff conversant in German, Swedish, Spanish or Italian either.

Most of the bigger agencies will have websites in two to three of these languages (usually English is one of them, although not all of the material in Estonian is necessarily translated) and often each individual agent will list the languages he/she can speak.

3) Be sure of the current market situation. The market is relatively transparent compared with some other areas of the CEE zone; one useful source is the two big real estate portals here, www.kv.ee and www.city24.com. These hold most of the properties that are on the market in Estonia (city24 also covers Poland, Sweden, Finland, Lithuania and Latvia) are searchable (in English) by region of Estonia, district (in the case of Tallinn) number of rooms, size, price and many other variables. Listings usually come with multiple, good quality photos although you should of course visit a property in person before buying; the agent who is acting for the property will be listed. Of course some properties will be listed with multiple agents.

Please note that just because a property is listed on kv.ee or city24.ee it doesn’t mean that the asking price is necessarily going to be reasonable, and be sure to look at the date the advert commenced. If a property has been up for more than a few months it is likely there are some issues either with price or something else. At the time of writing the average price per square metre for property in Tallin was a little over 1 000 Euros/square metre, rising to around 1 800 Euros/Square metre in central Tallinn (usually somewhat more than that in the Old Town itself, with Toompea being generally the most prestigious part of the already-prestigious Old Town) and the sought-after residential district of Pirita.

The figure for the whole of Estonia was 700 Euros/Square metre at the time of writing although there are naturally regional variations, with Tartu and the resort town of Pärnu, for example, being more expensive than the towns in the eastern-most parts of the country.

A bewildering array of statistics is published every month by one of the big hitters, Pindi-Eri, although the catch is it’s all in Estonian. This includes figures for average prices, sizes, number of owners etc. for all areas of Estonia going back many years (transparency, remember!). Some more comprehensive information is available on real estate expert Tõnu Toompark’s adaur blog (again usually in Estonian) together with Goodson & Red’s quarterly Market Review (and this IS available in English!) plus of course this blog.

4) When you have found an agent, obtain from this real estate partner an accurate picture of the service they provide and the fees they charge buyers for their services. It is normal for buyer’s agents to charge something. This shouldn’t be much more than a two to three per cent commission, or a fixed fee plus commission, or purely a fixed fee, but it varies by agent and also type of property.

It would often work in the buyer’s advantage to go for a fixed fee, since with a commission, it is not in the agent’s interest to get a lower price since they would be losing out on commission in so doing. At the same time this fixed fee might be split between an initial sum and a ‘bonus’ sum payable on completion of sale. A ballpark figure fixed fee would be a around 1 000 to 2 000 Euros for the initial fee. The bonus will often be pegged to the value of the property and could be anything from around 500 Euros for a small property to 3 000 or so for a high end property. In any case the fixed fee should equate to a commission of around two to three per cent, without the disincentive noted above.

Beware of agents who promote a ‘discount’ on their fixed fee or commission if the selling price is reduced by a certain amount from the asking; this could encourage the buying agent to collude with the seller to set the initial asking price higher than it is worth to give the impression of obtaining a good price. Thankfully such practices in Tallinn are now the exception rather than the norm and not something which larger, reputable agents would be likely to fall into, but as an overseas national it is important to exercise due care and obtain the advice and assistance of a local acquaintance where possible, even simply for language issues. On the plus side, Estonians are quite flexible, if you see a property you like but the buyer’s fee structure doesn’t quite work for you, always speak up and ask how this can be negotiated.

5) Become acquainted with all factors relating to the buying process. These include notarized contract forms, state orders of magnitude, notary fees etc. In general this is quite a straightforward affair in comparison with the UK for example, and it is not necessary to hire a lawyer or obtain a full survey unless you wish to.

Ask the partner to identify local laws related to real estate acquisition / possession / management. Depending on where you are from, there may be restrictions to buying property (if you are an EU citizen for example, there are not). Also be sure to check whether your country of origin has a double taxation agreement with Estonia; if it does not, you are not liable for taxation on rental income in your own country.

In general if you on the ground in Tallinn or Estonia it is possible to view a property in person in exactly the same way you would do in the UK or US, though you can usually (not always) expect a refreshing lack of hard-sell or ‘estate agent-ese’ in comparison. Making an offer can be done verbally although this does not make it legally binding; the seller might come back with a counter offer, although note that some sellers have little leeway in the negotiation process (due to many people borrowing during the boom time at a large loan to value rate at higher price levels than today). Naturally you should have an idea based on point 3) above plus your own reasearch as to whether you are getting a good deal even at the asking price, and there are some bargains around.*

6) Explore all options for finance. If you are able to borrow from Estonian banks (for instance an EU citizen should be able to) it is worth investigating because they are offering low rates even by present-day standards (as low as three per cent). The real estate portals kv.ee and city24.ee noted in point 3) above carry mortgage calculators which can give the monthly payments due on a property. Banks are much more stringent in their terms than the boom period of course, and 100 per cent loan to value mortgages are a thing of the past, though that is likely to be the case everywhere. In any case the mortgage application process in Estonia is quite straighforward and decisions are usually made quite quickly. If you are based in another country it may be possible to use your income there to determine how much you can borrow; with Estonian real wages still comparatively low by EU standards you may find you can borrow much more than a local Estonian could, however it is a good idea to exercise restraint and not overstretch yourself.

7) When considering buying an investment property, do think about the type of property you are investing in. Is it likely to be suitable for a student, foreign national or young professional(s)? How old is the building? What are communal areas like? Are there likely to be any planning permission issues? Is there much storage? Is there a parking space? A garden? What are the communal charges? Is it located near to public transport links, retail outlets and other facilities? Again, your agent will be able to advise you on this.

8) Location, location, location. Something of a cliché but true nevertheless. Experience shows that the best chance of investing in a successful rental property falls within the central part of Tallinn. This incorporates the old town, the ‘Kesklinn’ (city centre) and to a certain extent the areas of Kadriorg and Kristiine, to the east and west of the centre respectively, so you should really confine your search to these areas of Tallinn. Also worth considering are areas which are “up and coming”, most notably the waterfront from the harbour westward to the Kalamaja district, fast becoming the bohemian quarter of Tallinn with restaurants, cafes as well as residential developments sprining up, and still within walking distance of the centre; your broker will be able to advise you on the current landscape.

We are not saying that properties outside this zone are necessarily going to be untenable, but the distant location together with type of property (which tends to veer between either Soviet era apartment blocks or older wooden houses which would tend to suit local families, to larger, detached houses with large gardens which would be difficult to let out and manage) make it unlikely. Outside of Tallinn the scope is somewhat more limited for investment property, but your agent will be able to advise you nevertheless.

9) When buying a newly-refurbished apartment, do not assume that the kitchen, and even the bathroom, will be fully installed. Often you will have to by the fittings separately and get them installed, so be clear as to what is and is not included in the price and the time-frame within which the property will be ready for habitation.

10) When employing the services of workmen be sure to get recommendations from your agent or other contacts that you may have in the country. Self-explanatory really, but please note that due to economic factors many of the country’s best construction workers, craftsmen, carpenters, plumbers etc. are out of the country at any given time, sometimes only on a temporary basis but often (particularly in Finland) semi-permanently at least. For this reason it is crucial you get recommendations. On the other hand don’t let this put you off any property which you see as having potential but which needs work; part of Estonia’s economic recovery at the time of writing lies in a mini-construction boom, with rising prices in construction materials ensuring that there are people willing and able to work in this field.

 

*Please note that the above info does not include the case of foreclosed properties, which are generally in the possession of the banks and are often being auctioned off. Having said that much of the excess here has already been taken up and it is difficult to find bargains today, not to mention the fact that there might be issues regarding existing tenants or former owners still inhabiting the dwelling. For this reason we do not recommend inexperienced investors in this region intentionally pursuing this route.

Tallinn Property by Goodson & RedAndrew Whyte
Tallinn Property by Goodson & Red

Statistika: eluruume lisandus aastatagusega võrreldes 0,4%

Statistikaameti andmetel moodustas  2012. aastal eluruumide uusehitus 0,40% kogu eluruumide arvust. Eluruumide pindalast moodustas uute kasutusloa saanud eluruumide arv 0,68%.

Nõutav eluruumide taastootmine, mis kataks ära elamufondi amortiseerumise on 1% elamufondist. 1-protsendiline eluruumide uusehitus võtaks arvesse, et eluruumide kvaliteeti saab hoida ja tõusta ka läbi remondi ja renoveerimise.

Nii peame tõdema, et eluruumide madal uusehituse tase viib meid aeglase, kuid siiski järjepideva elamufondi keskmise kvaliteedi halvenemiseni.

Positiivne on siin see, et näiteks kümne aasta tagusest ajast on olukord märksa parem. Siis lisandus eluruume kõigest 0,18% eluruumide arvust ja 0,30% eluruumide pindalast.

Uue elamispinna ehitus võrreldes olemasoleva elamufondiga

Uue elamispinna ehitus võrreldes olemasoleva elamufondiga

Tõnu Toompark on Adaur Grupp OÜ ja Kinnisvarakool OÜ juhatuse liige ning Eesti Kinnisvarafirmade Liidu (EKFL) juhatuse liige.

Adaur Grupp OÜ

Kinnisvarakool

Eesti Kinnisvarafirmade Liit

Estonian Finance Ministry Building In Tallinn To Be Demolished, Rebuilt

According to a report by Ott Tammik on the English language site of the Estonian Public Broadcasters (ERR) the building which houses the Estonian Finance Ministry is to be demolished and two new, identical towers are to be built in its stead.

The current building at Suur-Ameerika 1, which was constructed back in 1977 when Estonia was a constitutent republic of the former USSR, has been declared unfit for renovation (which was the original intention) according to the report.

The work is due to start some time in 2013 and whilst the new buildings, which will also house the Ministry of The Economy, the Ministry of the Interior and the Ministry of Social Affairs from 2016, are to resemble the existing building externally, the interior will comprise modern, open plan offices rather than separate office rooms as is currently the case, according to the report.

This has not been met with unified approval, it would seem. The Estonian Architect’s Union called the building an architecturally valuable monument to its era and the decision to demolish it ‘strange’, the report stated.

Possible interim accomodation for the Finance Ministry during the period of construction could be the current Tax and Customs’ Board (EMTA) offices in various locations around Tallinn. EMTA is due to relocate to new premises in Ülemiste in the second half 2013.

Tallinn Property by Goodson & RedAndrew Whyte
Tallinn Property by Goodson & Red

Ober-Haus: Baltikumi hinnaindeks 06/2012

Ober-HausTallinnas tõusis juunis võrreldes maiga keskmine korteri ruutmeetri hind 0,2%, 1108-le eurole. Võrreldes eelmise aasta juuniga oli käesoleva aasta juunis Tallinna keskmine korteri pinnaühiku hind 7,5% kõrgem.Käesoleva aasta esimesel poolaastal on turg olnud aktiivne, korterite ostu-müügitehinguid tehti 31% rohkem kui eelmisel aastal samal perioodil.

Riias tõusis keskmine ruutmeetri hind juunis 0,3% 988-le eurole ruutmeetri kohta. Kõige aktiivsemad välismaalastest kliendid on Venemaalt ja teistest SRÜ riikidest. Viimase 12 kuuga on keskmine ruutmeetri hind tõusnud 4,9%. Võrreldes hindade tipuga 2007-l aasta mais on aga hinnad keskmiselt 57,5% madalamad.

Vilniuses võrreldes maiga hinnamuuutust ei toimunud, keskmine ruutmeetri hind oli sama – 1196 eurot. Aasta alguse suured tehingute kasvunumbrid on nüüd langusele pöördunud. Viimase aastaga on keskmine ruutmeetri hind Vilniuses langenud 1.0% 1196-le eurole.

Lae alla: Ober-Hausi Balti riikide korterite hinnaindeks juuni 2012

Uus Maa juunikuu turuülevaade

Ilmunud on Uus Maa juunikuu turuülevaade.

Mõned märksõnad ülevaatest:

  • Eesti kinnisvaraturul tõusis tehingute hulk aastaga 10,5%.
  • Tallinna uusarenduste suur populaarsus on kinnisvaraturule toonud ka spekulante, kes on eelkõige huvitatud 2-toalistest korteritest uutes majades.
  • Rakvere kinnisvaraturg oli juunis aktiivne – oma osa andsid selleks võõrsil tööl käivad inimesed, kes soovisid raha kinnisvarasse paigutada.

Ülevaate saad alla laadida siit.

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23.04.2024 Korteriühistu põhikirja ja kodukorra koostamine