Comment of the fund manager The main economic event of 2020 was not an economic event – unexpected arrival and spread of coronavirus. The virus wave that reached the Baltics in February 2020, closed the economy and put a significant…
Northern Horizon Capital AS as the management company of Baltic Horizon Fund (the Fund) has approved a cash distribution of approx. 0.93% of the Fund’s Q4 2020 weighted average net asset value to its unitholders. This equals to approx. EUR 1.32…
In the third quarter of 2020, Estonian economy dropped by 1.9% y/y in real terms (seasonally and working day non-adjusted). Seasonally and working day adjusted GDP rose by 3.3% q/q. The result was close to our expectations. In the first…
The unemployment rate increased in the third quarter in Estonia and is expected to rise further during the winter months. According to Statistics Estonia, employment fell by 3.6% in the third quarter, over the year, mostly in the services’ sector,…
• Deflation amounted to 1.1% in Estonia in September, over the year. • We expect prices to decline by 0.4% in 2020. In September, the fall in consumer prices deepened from 0.9% in August to 1.1% in September. Food prices increased…
In the second quarter of 2020, Estonian economy dropped by 6.9% y/y in real terms and 8.4% in nominal terms. Seasonally and working day adjusted GDP dropped by 5.6% q/q. The result exceeded our expectations on the upside. In the…
 The unemployment rate increased moderately in the second quarter but has been stable since then. We expect the unemployment rate to reach around 8% this year and then decrease again next year. According to Statistics Estonia, employment fell by 3.6%…
In Estonia, GDP contracted 0.7% yoy (non-adjusted) and 3.7% qoq (seasonally and working day adjusted) in 1Q The steep fall in VAT and excise taxes contributed negatively, while the gross value added increased 2% yoy. There were more economic activities…
If the market overview of March already mentioned the impact of the emergency situation in the second half of the month, the statistics of April transactions was fully impacted by it. However, in the last week of the month, increased…
• Labour market figures were still strong before the crisis. • Data has deteriorated rapidly since March. Corona crisis did not affect Q1 data Q1 labour market survey was carried out between January and March, i.e. before the crisis hit.…
The overview of real estate market in March cannot escape the topic of coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak which started to influence the market considerably from the second half of the month. Estonian Real Estate Market in March 2020 As the majority of transactions…
On 31 March 2020 the owner and operator of T1 Mall of Tallinn shopping centre, AS Tallinna Moekombinaat (TMK, a group subsidiary of AS Pro Kapital Grupp), submitted an application to Harju County Court for commencement of reorganisation proceedings with…
Wage growth remained relatively rapid and broad-based in the fourth quarter. Statistics Estonia’s wage data showed a slowdown in the annual growth rate of the full-time-equivalent average gross wage (+6.4%, over the year) in Q4 2019, mostly due to a…
In 2019, Estonian GDP growth was 4.3% y/y in real terms and 7.7% y/y in nominal terms. Although, the growth slowed from previous year, it was still strong and exceeded our expectations – our forecast, published in January, was 3.7%.…
In October, the people visiting the real estate conference of EKFL admitted that the sentiment of the participants in the real estate market is rather positive and no bigger systematic risks are predicted for the next few years. When looking…