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Swedbank: Estonia: the economic recession is receding gradually

30.10.2023
  • SwedbankIn Q3, GDP dropped 2.5% y/y in real terms and remained on the same level compared with the previous quarter (swda), according to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia.
  • The GDP flash estimate was close to our expectations.
  • Estonian GDP has contracted 3% y/y in the first three quarters of the year.
  • The recent deep contraction of manufacturing output, export and retail volumes have stabilised.
  • The slowdown of the decline is expected to continue in Q4 this year and we forecast sluggish economic recovery in 2024.
  • Despite the prolong recession, Estonian labour market has remained strong.

Full report

Seonduvad uudised

  • 31.05.2018 Swedbank: Deceleration of economic growth in 1Q2018 was expected
    GDP growth in Estonia decelerated to 3.6% yoy in 1Q2018 in real terms. The slowdown was expected, as close to 5% growth in 2017 was above the potential, by far. Nominal GDP growth decelerated to 8%, but it’s still very&hellip         
  • 28.02.2020 Swedbank: Last year’s economic growth surprised on the upside
    In 2019, Estonian GDP growth was 4.3% y/y in real terms and 7.7% y/y in nominal terms. Although, the growth slowed from previous year, it was still strong and exceeded our expectations – our forecast, published in January, was 3.7%.         
  • 02.03.2023 Swedbank: Estonia: recession deepened towards the end of 2022
    In Q4 2022, GDP contracted 4.1% y/y (non-adjusted) and 1.6% q/q (swda) in real terms. Quarter-on-quarter GDP fell throughout 2022. In 2022, GDP fell 1.3% in real terms, but expanded 15.1% in nominal terms – the fastest result of the         
  • 01.06.2023 Swedbank: Estonia: GPD fell for the fifth quarter in a row
    In Q1 2023, GDP contracted 3.2% y/y (non-adjusted) and 0.6% q/q (swda) in real terms. GDP contraction met our expectations. In nominal terms, Estonian economy expanded 9.3%, above the long-term average. Estonian economy has contracted five quarters i         

Meist

Tõnu Toompark on kinnisvaraanalüütik, -konsultant ja koolitaja, kelle tegevusvaldkonnad on valdavalt: * elamispindade turg, turutrendid, tehingud, hinnad ning turuülevaated; * uute korterite arendamise mahud, müük, hinnad ja analüüsid; * üürituru pakkumine, tehingud ja hinnad ning üüriinvesteeringud, tasuvusarvutused; * elamispindade kättesaadavus numbrilisena; * koolitused eeltoodud valdkondades. Koolituste valdkonnaga on Tõnu Toompark seotud üle 25 aasta. Ta on avaldanud sadu ja sadu kinnisvarateemalisi analüüse, artikleid ja kommentaare. Tõnu Toompark on läbi viinud koolitusi nii kesk-, kutse-, kõrg-, kui ülikoolides, lisaks mitmetes koolitusettevõtetes. Näiteks Kinnisvarakool, Tallinna Tehnikaülikool, Eesti Ettevõtluskõrgkool Mainor, Estonian Business School, Tartu Ülikool, Tallinna Majanduskool.

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