With 52% of UK voting to leave over 48% wishing to stay in, history is being made as we speak, and the United Kingdom will be the first country to leave the EU since its formation. As we expected, the…
Statistics Estonia did not revise the GDP growth of 1Q2016 with its second estimate: it remained 1.7% yoy and flat qoq (swda) in real terms. Despite the fall in prices, GDP growth reached to 3% in nominal terms (2.5% in…
There are an increasing number of media mentions about negative interest rates as more developed countries across the globe are entering a negative interest rates territory. Five central banks – the European Central Bank (ECB), the Denmark’s National bank, the…
According to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia, GDP growth in Estonia accelerated to 1.7% yoy in 1Q 2016, while compared to the previous quarter (seasonally and working day adjusted) remained flat. On the supply side, continued robust growth of…
The SEB Baltic Household Outlook revealed that in 2015 the market for small loans and other loans issued by banks experienced an upturn in Estonia and Lithuania with the loan portfolios increasing by 1.8 per cent and 6.3 per cent…
The busy statistics calendar of the past weeks has not made it possible to give due attention to everything that is important. Consequently, this weekly commentary will address the foreign trade and registered unemployment statistics, were published already at the…
The week was once again packed with economic activity. Reviewed data on the GDP for Q3 were published, unfortunately there were no major changes – the economic growth estimation was increased from 0.5% to 0.7% year on year. Worse-than-expected economic…
The strong wage increase in the third quarter is good news for a working person. Increasing employment and average wages, on the other hand, are a bit mystifying against stagnant corporate income and near-zero growth in the third quarter. Upward…
Both seasonally adjusted quarterly wage growth and average annual wage growth were faster than in the second quarter Wages in accommodation and catering rose by 16.9% Data from Statistics Estonia show that the average gross monthly wage was up 6.9%…
Several important economic indicators were updated last week. The new GDP flash estimate for the third quarter indicates that instead of picking up speed, as was expected at the beginning of the year, economic growth is instead beginning to freeze.…
Balances on loan private individuals’ loans in Estonia have begun to grow at accelerating rates. According to the Bank of Estonia, last August the balance on private individuals’ loans stood at 7.23 billion euros, up 3.5% year on year. Growth…
Economic statistics for the past week revealed that the Estonian economy grew a lot more last year than was previously thought. The growth of GDP in the second quarter can also be regarded as being good. At the same time,…
• GDP real growth 2% in the second quarter • Main contribution from private consumption, but investments decreased • Economic activities dependent on foreign demand (transportation and manufacturing) had the largest negative contribution to the GDP growth • Exports decreased…
Last week several updates on some important economic indicators were published. Unfortunately the news were mainly negative – industrial production is falling, orders are decreasing and employee’s pay is not growing from the company’s increasing income but from investments. Industry…
Why worry about wage growth? Wage growth accelerated again Not sustainable in the longer term Exports have to recover Wage growth accelerated again Gross wage growth has been around or above 5% since 2011. In the first half of 2015,…