Uudiste arhiiv

 

Weak export demand behind the sluggish economic growth

11.02.2016
Swedbank

According to the flash estimate of Statistics Estonia, GDP grew by 0.7% yoy in Estonia in 4Q 2015. The growth rate met our expectations. Compared to the previous quarter, GDP grew by 1.2% (seasonally and working day adjusted). In 2015,…

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SEB: Export in need of momentum

18.12.2015
SEB Pank

The busy statistics calendar of the past weeks has not made it possible to give due attention to everything that is important. Consequently, this weekly commentary will address the foreign trade and registered unemployment statistics, were published already at the…

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Higher growth requires courage to make investments

14.12.2015
SEB Pank

The week was once again packed with economic activity. Reviewed data on the GDP for Q3 were published, unfortunately there were no major changes – the economic growth estimation was increased from 0.5% to 0.7% year on year. Worse-than-expected economic…

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Economic growth in Estonia decelerates sharply in the 2H2015

10.12.2015
Swedbank

According to the second estimate by the Statistics Estonia, the GDP growth in Estonia decelerated to 0.7% yoy in 3Q2015, while compared to the previous quarter the GDP decreased by 0.4% (seasonally and working-day adjusted). Primarily construction, transport and manufacturing…

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Wages rose despite the weak growth in the economy

26.11.2015
Eesti Pank

Both seasonally adjusted quarterly wage growth and average annual wage growth were faster than in the second quarter Wages in accommodation and catering rose by 16.9% Data from Statistics Estonia show that the average gross monthly wage was up 6.9%…

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Economic growth or economic standstill

25.11.2015
SEB Pank

Several important economic indicators were updated last week. The new GDP flash estimate for the third quarter indicates that instead of picking up speed, as was expected at the beginning of the year, economic growth is instead beginning to freeze.…

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Labour market has tightened further

15.11.2015
Swedbank

Finding suitable labour is increasingly difficult for Estonian employers, therefore, wage pressures persist even when enterprises sales and profits have decreased. Labour shortage was perceived as the biggest business constraint among the 18% of service, 17% of construction, and 14%…

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GDP growth smaller than expected

12.11.2015
Swedbank

GDP growth slowed more than expected, from 1.9% in the second quarter to 0.5% in the third quarter, year on year. Quarter-on-quarter change in GDP volumes was negative: -0.5%. During the first 9 months of the year, GDP in Estonia…

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Large Estonian enterprises’ optimism over doing business has grown

04.11.2015
SEB Pank

SEB’s pan-Baltic survey of CFOs of large enterprises indicates an improved assessment of the business climate; however, Estonian enterprises remain more conservative in their forecasts than their neighbours to the south. The main concerns for large Estonian enterprises are low…

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Eastern European Outlook, October 2015

07.10.2015
SEB Pank

The dual-track economic picture in Eastern (including Central) Europe will persist over the next two years. Conflict-plagued Russia and Ukraine will show continued weakness. In Russia, recession will linger during 2016 too, as plunging oil prices rebound only weakly and…

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Moderate economic growth, yet risks have increased

14.09.2015
SEB Pank

Economic statistics for the past week revealed that the Estonian economy grew a lot more last year than was previously thought. The growth of GDP in the second quarter can also be regarded as being good. At the same time,…

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Swedbank flash comment Estonia : Weak foreign demand inhibits the economic growth in Estonia

08.09.2015
Swedbank

• GDP real growth 2% in the second quarter • Main contribution from private consumption, but investments decreased • Economic activities dependent on foreign demand (transportation and manufacturing) had the largest negative contribution to the GDP growth • Exports decreased…

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SEB: The gap between industry and trade is widening

08.09.2015
SEB Pank

Last week several updates on some important economic indicators were published. Unfortunately the news were mainly negative – industrial production is falling, orders are decreasing and employee’s pay is not growing from the company’s increasing income but from investments. Industry…

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Swedbank: The Estonian Economy

07.09.2015
Swedbank

Why worry about wage growth?  Wage growth accelerated again Not sustainable in the longer term Exports have to recover Wage growth accelerated again Gross wage growth has been around or above 5% since 2011. In the first half of 2015,…

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Swedbank: Wage growth accelerated

02.09.2015
Swedbank

Monthly gross wages amounted to 1,082 euros, +5.8%, yoy, in Q2. At the same time, net wages were up by 7.3% in real terms because of 0% inflation and lower labour taxes. The growth of gross wages accelerated from 4.5%…

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